Mobility Heaven?

We can expect to see all manner of change in our personal mobility in the coming years as emerging technology frees us from time-wasting, costly travel. If you are a provider of travel services you need to stay abreast of the disruptive forces coming to you very soon.

What is changing?

Travel

  • Emerging driverless autos will cut energy cost per mile 90 percent and total cost 40 percent.
  • An autonomous taxi with dynamic ride-sharing could replace ten privatevehicles.
  • Many cars will become utility-driven products based on providing a great mobility experience.
  • The world’s mobility challenges will increasingly be met with silicon rather than asphalt.
  • By 2020, more than 40 million cloud-enabled vehicles will ship yearly.
  • Even in 2020, the overwhelming majority of cars worldwide will be powered by a combustion engine.
  • The intra-urban mobility with railways and aeroplanes will enjoy significant growth.
  • Hotels will boost in-room technology budgets in 2015 with mobility topping the must-do list for many.
  • Attainments for public transport will increase by 50% and for individual mobility by 17%.
  • There will be a demand for an intermodal traffic system in a limited amount of space with a seamless interchange between different modes of transport.

Planning

  • Extremely precise digital maps will be used in combination with real-time vehicle data in order to increase road safety and to facilitate innovative new products and services.
  • Anonymized biking data from both public and corporate repositories will improve overall bike planning and provide incentives to the private sector to support more biking.
  • ICT research in manufacturing intelligence will assimilate the huge amount of data originating as a result of increased collaboration and connectivity and render meaningful information on-the-fly on mobile devices for managers and shop floor supervisors.
  • Mobility and connectedness will be at the heart of the future business environment.
  • Future mobility solutions will take the CO2 balance in the whole energy chain into consideration.
  • Investment will shift from collaboration, infrastructure and mobility to big data and IIoT / automation over the next 3 to 5 years.
Implications

Intelligence

  • Intelligent mobility could cut costs with more efficient infrastructureusage and better system management.
  • Intelligent mobility opens up enormous potential for innovation and will enable several new functions for drivers.
  • Online data could be used to model large-scale human mobility patterns.

Alliances

  • Moving toward an era of mobility is going to take the combined and concerted efforts of private manufacturers, software engineers, regulators, government agencies and academic institutions.
  • Transport Systems (ITS) will require vision and cooperation between policy makers, OEMs, technology suppliers and infrastructure providers.
  • Public transport authorities and operators will need to open their minds and take a much
    more holistic view on public transport than they have done up to now.
  • Mobility will see more of cooperation and alliances between companies on the far ends of the spectrum of technology ecosystem.

Policies

  • Local and regional governments will come under increased pressure to provide good fiscal, legal and regulatory conditions.
  • Standards for electrified mobility safety, data communication and billing will be developed.
  • Public transportation will play an increasingly important role in reducing emissions and boosting economic growth by ensuring that all members of society are mobile.
  • Electro mobility is expected to minimize the current dependence on oil.
  • Integrated solutions to create an all-pervasive ‘smartness’ in the fields oftransport and mobility, water management, building management and energy efficiency will play a critical role in shaping the government’s vision.

Business

  • CIOs need to continue to be proactive around changing security and mobilitydemands that the workforce will place on their infrastructure.
  • Implementing the trans-European transport network could create up to 10 million jobs
    and increase Europe’s GDP by 1.8% by 2030.
  • Apple’s wearable is a consumer product right now but in time the device likely will take a stronger position in the industrial mobile workplace as part of an overall enterprise mobility picture.
  • Companies will need to pair ‘pervasive mobility’ with ‘ubiquitous security’.
  • As the technological boom evolves, businesses will need to watch out for pitfalls such as rising mobility, which will drive eventual platform and device consolidation
  • Organizations that continue to take enterprise mobility for granted will be swept aside in the new environment.

Ownership

  • Consumers could buy ‘mobility services’ rather than a vehicle. The ‘mobility companies’ could then own the batteries, battery charging systems and battery exchange infrastructure, and charge the customers for the services they use.
  • The application of AVs to taxi and car-sharing business models will have far-reaching consequences for mobility players.
  • Fleets of self-driving vehicles could replace all car, taxi and bus trips in a city.
  • AVs could change the mobility behavior of consumers.
  • Beyond technological innovations the transition to electric mobility will first and foremost require the readiness of customers to use and trust electric mobility.

Vehicle technologies

  • Vehicle, batteries and engine technologies are expected to lead to improvements in
    transportation and mobility.
  • Mass adoption of self-driving technology will not occur until sensortechnology and integration software are more fully developed.
  • Enterprise mobility apps and services will continue to grow.

Surprise

  • An adversary could create physical obstacles to mobility and other robot capabilities.
  • Shared network and data communications infrastructure brings an inherent risk of collateral damage if not properly protected.

Learn more

What future opportunities and risks could arise for your organization from advances in mobility? Develop your answer and response here.

Find the sources and more resources on Shaping Tomorrow ‘Mobility Heaven’ some of which were used in this Trend Alert, or ask us for our ready-made and free, in-depth PowerPoint report or more detailed GIST briefing on this or any other topic of interest to you.

Also, click here to find out how Shaping Tomorrow can help your organization rapidly assess and respond to these and other key issues affecting your business.

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